UBS puts US recession odds at 93% within twelve months. He attributes the forecast to UBS and says ample data supports it, citing overall inflation rising from 2.3% to 2.9% since the start of 2025. He promises a "twist" to the conclusion, but the captions end before he delivers it.
A strengthening dollar alongside rising prices is the danger. He says that when inflation creeps up the dollar is supposed to weaken, and it had been trending down, but over the past couple of weeks it has been rising. Dollars getting more expensive while prices climb is, in his words, a great way to bankrupt many people; the captions cut off there.
Real bread needs only four ingredients — starter, flour, water, and salt — and commercial bread, even from upscale grocers like Whole Foods, fails that bar. The author argues most of the work is passive once the initial learning curve is cleared, so the time excuse for not baking at home doesn't hold up.
American food culture consistently trades quality for convenience, and bread is one symptom of that pattern. He connects this to an earlier essay on 7-Eleven, framing the additive-heavy commercial bread aisle as part of a broader habit of choosing convenience over what the rest of the world would recognize as real food.
The Mariners clinching the AL West for the first time in 24 years becomes a meditation on gratitude and mindfulness in success. The author notes his father endured 22 losing years and missed this one, using the team's long drought to argue that even at the height of success "the ledge is always nearby."
GeoHussar#Russia needs #Venezuela almost as much as they need China. #Gold #LatinAmerica #Geopolitics
Venezuela is a Russian weapons testing ground near US shores. He argues the country is an ideal place for Russia to train with and test its weaponry, especially radar and surveillance systems, because of its proximity to the United States.
Venezuelan oil gives Russia leverage inside OPEC+. He says Venezuela holds the largest oil reserves on the planet, and Russia's heavy influence there lets it affect quotas and overall output within OPEC+.
Venezuelan gold helps Russia evade sanctions. He describes an exchange: Venezuela, sitting on some of the largest gold reserves, supplies gold that Russia uses to escape sanctions, and in return Russia provides weapons, training, and UN votes or vetoes against measures harmful to Caracas.
The partnership gives Russia a foothold in America's backyard. He frames South America as historically America's sphere to exploit, saying he states this as history rather than endorsement. He complains that public attention is fixed on Russia while Venezuela is being ignored.
Russia's NATO airspace breaches shield Venezuela from US action. His inference: although Russia stands no chance against NATO, the incursions open a second front Washington must watch, making a US push into Venezuela too risky. He presents this as a recent realisation, not reported intent.
The US could win both fights but would pay politically. He argues the US could easily defeat Russia and Venezuela, but doing so would damage the world economy and alienate the domestic middle, which does not want a warlike president. He predicts the GOP would be "completely trounced" in 2026 and 2028.
Russia values Venezuela as a weapons testbed and oil power. He repeats his reasons: Venezuela is a training ground for Russian radar and surveillance close to US shores, and it holds the largest oil reserves on the planet. The captions cut off mid-list.
Russia's NATO incursions may be meant to bury the Venezuela story. He observes that coverage of Venezuela has disappeared since Russia's incursions into NATO territory, and suggests that may be the purpose. This is speculation, not a reported motive.
Venezuela is Russia's client, not China's. He argues China's investment is primarily economic, securing oil and resources such as rare earths, while Putin is what keeps Maduro in power. He cites Russia as Venezuela's top weapons supplier and a major provider of military training.
Venezuela answered US ships with US-made jets, not Russian ones. He says that when the US Navy approached Venezuelan waters, Venezuela launched what he calls F-15 Eagles rather than its Russian fighters. The captions end before he draws the conclusion.
China isn't responsible for the Secret Service's discovery, he argues. He reasons China has no motive to jeopardize its current standing at the UN, where he says it is leading on renewable-energy and climate talks.
Russia fits the profile better, he argues. He cites three years of losses including ground ceded in Crimea to Ukrainian drone and Flamingo cruise-missile strikes, domestic gas shortages despite being a major fuel producer, and ongoing jamming of aircraft and navigation equipment along its border.
He speculates Russia staged the incident to manufacture a crisis. This includes, he suggests, a telecom blackout in New York during the UN General Assembly meant to make the US look vulnerable. He flags this explicitly as his own guess, naming an unnamed alternate country or a domestic/breakaway source as other possibilities.
GeoHussarRussia has the greatest motive for being the culprit in the Secret Service bust.
Only three states could have mounted the telecom plot. He says the articles he has read conclude that only Russia, China or an unnamed Middle Eastern country could have staged a telecom blackout during the UN gathering, which he says hosts about 195 nations after first saying 120.
Neither the Middle Eastern ally nor China has a motive. He reasons the Middle Eastern country would not attack a crucial ally at this moment, and that China is doing well at the UN, especially as the climate-talks trendsetter in renewable energy, so it would not hobble that standing.
Russia has the strongest motive, as a failing power farming crises. He cites three years of failure in Ukraine, a weakening grip on Crimea under Ukrainian drone and Flamingo cruise missile strikes, bombarded energy infrastructure and nationwide gas shortages. He reads its drone and aircraft incursions into NATO territory as an attempt to manufacture a crisis to galvanise support at home.
The Secret Service dismantled a telecom weapon near the UN General Assembly. Reported: within a 35-mile radius of the General Assembly, agents found several apartments filled with SIM cards and SIM servers. He says no munitions were involved, but the equipment could have taken down New York City's entire telecom network.
The scale was enough to overwhelm cell towers across the city. He explains that one SIM server holds a thousand or more SIM cards and, fully loaded, can bring a cell tower close to being overwhelmed. He cites 300 servers and 100,000 SIM cards, enough in theory for 30 million text messages per unit of time the captions cut off before stating.
Even small consumption drops force the system to respond. He cites the 2008 recession, where a drop in consumption of about 2.3–2.5% triggered bailouts and stimulus, and COVID, with a 20% drop in about three months. His point is that authorities act fast to push people back into spending.
Cutting consumption 2–5% would be the loudest possible protest. He proposes that if every American cut spending by two to five percent on average, the system would have to listen. He frames it as "seize the means of consumption" rather than production, and says he is not urging people to stop buying entirely.
He concedes the protest would cost jobs and cause a downturn. He acknowledges it would be messy, with job losses and significant economic decline. He nonetheless argues it is the only way to force change that favours ordinary people rather than the wealthiest.
The system only changes when consumption is hit. He specifies he means the system as a whole, not the current administration. His example is Disney suspending Jimmy Kimmel, after which consumers cancelled Disney subscriptions and Disney reversed course, restoring Kimmel; he calls this a profound example of consumer strength.
Pressuring companies is the route to changing politicians. He argues every company is as vulnerable to consumers as Disney, and that these companies are the primary funders of politicians who do not represent voters. Withholding consumption to scare companies is, in his view, how to change those politicians.
Russia's NATO airspace incursions are desperate crisis-farming. He reads them as Hail Marys from a state crumbling internally. He points to successful Ukrainian operations in Crimea that he says are crushing Russian air defences, and predicts Ukraine may eventually regain air supremacy over the peninsula.
Europe should exploit US backing for shoot-downs while it lasts. Poland warned Russia it would shoot down any craft entering its airspace again, and he says the US administration endorsed this. Because the president may flip on Russia and Ukraine, he urges Ukraine and the EU to take full advantage and down any Russian military equipment entering non-Russian airspace.
GeoHussar#Trump gives the OK for #NATO to shoot down #Russian #aircraft in all alliance territory
The president's on-record "yes" removes his grounds to object later. Asked whether NATO countries should shoot down Russian aircraft entering their airspace, the president answered "Yes, I do." He argues NATO states never needed permission, but if they now act aggressively the president has no moral standing to call it wrong.
The endorsement came right after suspected Russian drones appeared in Denmark. He notes the go-ahead came the day after drones, possibly Russian, were found at Danish airports, with Norway also affected. He also points to Zelensky's visibly surprised reaction when the president gave the answer.
GeoHussar#Trump pushing the onus of #Ukraine’s #defense on #Europe
The president frames Ukraine as Europe's burden, with the US supplying munitions. He says the president stresses that Europe must do the heavy lifting while the United States will most likely just supply munitions.
Pro-Ukrainian optimism should be tempered by the president's reversals. He notes that the same week, the president let OAN, which he disparages, cover Russia with Pentagon access, and that a month earlier the president said Ukraine started the war and should cede occupied territory. He calls the current stance a 180° flip and warns commitments may not be honoured.
The president now says Ukraine can retake all its territory. He quotes the statement, issued a little over eight months into the term: with EU support, Ukraine is in a position to win all of Ukraine back "in its original form." The White House added that Putin and Russia are in big economic trouble and this is the time for Ukraine to act.
Talking about NATO as separate signals US distancing from the alliance. The statement says the US will keep supplying weapons to NATO "for NATO to do whatever they want with them." He reads this as the president trying to distance himself from the alliance as far as possible, while arguing he cannot do so fully.
He rebuts a claim that oil isn't a fossil fuel by pointing to biomarkers. Responding to someone arguing oil is a "naturally occurring hydrocarbon" rather than a fossil fuel because it lacks DNA, he says oil contains biomarkers — DNA being one example — which is the same type of evidence used to establish that water is water.
Bands have nearly vanished from the charts — from about 41% of top chart slots in 1995 to roughly 4% by 2023, per the analysis the author cites. He attributes the collapse to three forces: streaming economics that no longer justify splitting revenue among multiple members, bedroom-production technology that removes the need for a full lineup, and labels finding it easier to market a single artist than a group.
The shift trades collaborative, organic sound for solo, electronically produced music, and the author sees that as a loss. He points to songwriting partnerships like Lennon-McCartney as evidence that some of music's best output came from friction and synergy between multiple musicians — synergy that's structurally disappearing as bands disappear.
He turns to sourdough baking, including a pumpkin loaf, as a personal counterweight to cultural and political trends he finds troubling. The baking is framed as grounding rather than escapist — a deliberate slowing-down rather than avoidance.
He argues oil itself is the fossil, countering a claim that no fossils exist below 16,000 feet. He says a fossil is the remnant of any former living thing regardless of shape, and that fossils found at that depth reflect the Earth's surface roughly 250 million years ago, before features like the Rockies or Everest existed; he cites hydrocarbons' hydrogen-carbon chemistry as the supporting evidence.
A comedic bit imagines rapture logistics as travel-planning anxiety. He riffs on packing questions — USB cables, outlet types in Jerusalem, weather in the clouds — alongside a passing remark that Jimmy Kimmel is "coming back on the day of the rapture," before deciding he'll just stay put.
GeoHussar#SaudiArabia in the #MiddleEastern countries are the US top #weapons importers #arab
A US pullback would trigger a Gulf arms-buying spree. Showing a chart of top weapons importers, he notes the US is the main supplier to Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Kuwait. He predicts that if the US withdrew its own military assets, these states would buy heavily from US defence contractors and deepen regional military and economic cooperation.
An Arab NATO would suppress the region's proxy wars. He predicts that integrated training and cooperation would let such an alliance stamp out regional proxy wars, after which it would turn to doing the same in North Africa.
The West dominated by keeping rivals at each other's throats. He argues Americans who cast the Middle East as villainous overlook that Europe and America held the world hostage for some 500 years, largely by keeping countries and tribes divided against each other.
Every previous attempt at an Arab alliance has failed. He lists the 1950 Joint Defense and Economic Cooperation Treaty of the Arab League, still technically in force but mainly economic; the 1955 Baghdad Pact; the Gulf Cooperation Council in the 1980s; another try in the early 2000s; and one around 2015–2017.
Mutual resentment makes an Arab NATO a pipe dream. He concludes that tensions among these states remain too high and that they would resist anyone trying to lead, even Saudi Arabia or Egypt, so the idea stays only an idea for now.
GeoHussarWestern Europe +America took over the world by knowing how to keep countries at each other‘s throats
A US pullback would trigger a Gulf arms-buying spree. Citing a chart of top weapons importers, he notes the US is the main supplier to Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Kuwait. He predicts that a US withdrawal of military assets would push these states into heavy purchases from US defence contractors and deeper regional cooperation.
An Arab NATO would suppress the region's proxy wars. He expects intensive joint training and integration would let such an alliance stamp out proxy wars in the region, and then extend the same effort into North Africa.
The West dominated by keeping rivals at each other's throats. He argues Americans who see the Middle East and Islam as villainous ignore that Europe and America held the world hostage for some 500 years, succeeding largely by keeping other countries, and tribes within them, divided.
GeoHussarBoth #Qatar and the #UAE rejected #Egypt proposal to form an #Arabic version of #NATO
Gulf states rejected the plan to avoid Saudi dominance. He says this concern sharpened after Saudi Arabia signed a mutual defence agreement with Pakistan. Any India–Pakistan conflict now involves Saudi Arabia, and if Egypt and the Gulf states joined a pact with Riyadh, they too could end up facing India.
The region cannot agree on a leader, unlike Europe. He contrasts this with Europe, which he says has accepted US leadership for roughly 75 years, and concludes an Arab alliance does not look possible for now.
A stable Middle Eastern NATO would free US resources for China. He argues the US would spend less on regional deterrence and defence, oil prices would likely be more stable, and Washington could shift those resources to containing China in the Pacific.
The alliance would contain Iran and boost US arms sales. He expects Iran would be excluded and become the alliance's main focus of containment, and says an alliance of this caliber would be a major boost to the US military-industrial complex.
GeoHussarWhat would an Arab/Middle East version of NATO mean for the United States in the world? #arab
A wider mutual defence pact means stronger deterrence. He argues that the more countries bound by mutual defence, the less likely any of them is to be attacked recklessly, so an Arab NATO would be a good thing; the open question is membership.
The first-term MESA proposal died over the Qatar blockade. Around 2018–2019 the president floated a Middle East Strategic Alliance of Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman, Bahrain and Qatar. It stalled because the UAE, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain were blockading Qatar, and he says the Biden administration let it fade.
Iran's "Muslim NATO" idea cannot work because of Saudi rivalry. He says Iran has proposed its own version, but its intense rivalry with Saudi Arabia would leave the two constantly vying for dominance.
Egypt's post-September 9 proposal was rejected even by rivals. Egypt proposed an Arab NATO, excluding Turkey and Iran, after the September 9 attacks, and the Gulf states rejected it. He finds it ironic that Qatar and the UAE, bitter rivals, rejected it for the same reason.
He frames a named list of prosecution targets as itself the "accurate reporting." Responding to a clip demanding accurate reporting, he lists figures the speaker has said should be prosecuted — including Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Barack Obama, Liz Cheney, Hillary Clinton, Jack Smith, Alvin Bragg, Letitia James, James Comey, Adam Schiff, Andrew McCabe, Chuck Schumer, Nancy Pelosi, Mark Milley, John Brennan, James Clapper, Chris Krebs, Gavin Newsom, Anthony Fauci, Jerome Powell, George Soros, and Mark Zuckerberg — and notes the same person's actions led to Jimmy Kimmel's suspension from his show and a global boycott of Disney.
Russian public support for the war is collapsing. He cites a survey from Moscow's independent Levada Center finding 66% of Russians now want peace, with support for the war at its lowest level ever, and reads this as the walls closing in on Putin.
Russia is short enough of air defense to seek its S-400s back. He reports Moscow asked Turkey to sell back the S-400 systems Turkey bought, which he says sit unused in storage and are not part of Turkey's Steel Dome project. He argues the S-400 does not match the US Patriot, that Russia cannot produce it at scale or protect existing units from Ukrainian drones.
Ukraine may be gaining air supremacy over Crimea. He attributes this to the attrition of Russian air defenses and to Ukraine's new Flamingo missiles; this is his assessment, not a sourced report. He adds that Saudi Arabia passed on more S-400s in the early 2020s to buy American, which he calls the better investment.
Putin's NATO incursions may be aimed at his own public. His inference is that Putin, watching a "house of cards" collapse, is trying not to look weak and may be "crisis fishing" — using incursions into NATO territory to prepare Russians for a possible war with NATO.
GeoHussarRussia is crumbling internally #geopolitics #news #europe #ukrainewar
Russia's energy revenue is falling and sanctions evasion is costly. He cites a 23% drop in oil and gas revenue this year, against oil and gas making up over half of Russia's export revenue. He argues the shadow-fleet trade with India and China works only at a steep discount and is now being targeted by the United States.
Russian inflation and rates show an economy under strain. Official inflation is 8.2%, down from almost 11% last year, against 2.9% in the US; the policy rate is 17%, from over 21% a year ago. He stresses these are official Russian figures and suspects the real numbers are higher.
Official unemployment hides deeper weakness. He reports Putin saying Russia is curbing growth to control inflation while insisting recession is far away. He argues this is producing hidden unemployment well above the official figure of roughly 2.2%, and ties it to growing public unhappiness with the war.
US forward deployments are boxing Russia in. He points to the world's largest aircraft carrier, US-owned, stationed in Norway near Russia; the US Navy's Aegis missile defense site set up in Poland in 2024; and two nuclear attack submarines the president says were moved closer to Russia.
Pressure on Venezuela targets Russia's client in South America. He describes Russia as the military backbone keeping Maduro in power, with China's influence there mainly economic, and asks what Russia can actually do as the US moves against it.
Iran can no longer arm Russia as before. He argues Iran, formerly a supplier of Shahed drones and ballistic missiles, had much of its military capability destroyed in the 12-day war, so it cannot supply Russia anywhere near its earlier extent.
Russia's airspace violations are escalating from drones to manned jets. Estonia is the third NATO country in seven or eight days to have its airspace violated, after drone incursions in Romania and Poland; in Estonia it was three Russian fighter jets reportedly armed with Kinzhal missiles. Estonia, like Poland, has invoked NATO Article 4 consultations.
Washington's muted response risks reading as weakness. He notes the president said he doesn't like it and the secretary of state called it unacceptable while seeking a de-escalatory tone. He contrasts this with the other 31 members' louder response and argues Russia has succeeded in showing potential fracturing of NATO interests.
Russia is bluffing strength from a position of weakness. His reading is that the aggression is not a sign of growing power but the opposite, applying Sun Tzu's maxim to appear strong when weak, and he says the gamble won't save Russia.
A political lie is aimed at believers, not skeptics. He argues that once you can already see the cracks in a lie, you were never its target; it's built for the audience that wants to believe it, so it can be clipped, shared, and amplified.
The outrage-driven media ecosystem sells the viewer, not to the viewer. He frames the lie as currency within that system, arguing that outrage, frustration, and division are the actual product being sold, with the audience as the commodity rather than the customer.
The public statement is a performance staged for someone else. He closes by telling viewers to recognize the act for what it is and to identify who it's really meant to persuade, since they merely happen to be present while it's filmed.
Mr. GlobalInvestor Owned Utilities #news #truth #breakingnews #trump
A "regulatory compact" guarantees investor-owned utilities a profit regardless of usage. He explains that in exchange for accepting regulation, utilities are granted monopoly status and a guaranteed profit margin of roughly 9–11%, and as high as 14% in some states.
Capital spending enriches the utility even as it's billed to customers. He argues that when a utility spends a billion dollars on the grid, customers pay for it, and afterward the utility owns a larger, more valuable asset capable of carrying even more electricity.
A shrinking customer base drives per-customer costs up exponentially. As cheaper, easier solar installation pulls more customers off the grid, he argues the remaining customers must cover the same total cost, a trend he says is already underway and is his reason for concluding utilities shouldn't be private.
Mr. GlobalCandace Owens #news #truth #breakingnews #trump
He accuses Candace Owens of exploiting a friend's death for attention. He characterizes her recent commentary as consistent with a long pattern of seeking attention, predicting she knows her claims will draw a large conspiracy-minded audience and that she'll "milk that cow until it's dry."
GeoHussarThe United States failed in its lack of response to the attack on #Qatar. And the consequences……
Saudi Arabia's security is a global oil-price issue. He cites Saudi reserves of 267 billion barrels (Venezuela's 303 billion being lower quality and harder to access), Saudi Arabia as the close second producer behind the US, and its supply of 10% of world oil, so any attack on its fields moves prices worldwide.
Repeated US failures to deter attacks eroded Saudi trust. He recounts small-scale strikes on Saudi facilities in the 1990s–2000s, then a 2019 drone strike during the current president's first term that cut global production by about 5%. He argues the failure to deter the Qatar attack was the last straw, pushing Riyadh to seek more reliable protection.
Pakistan, the partner Riyadh chose, sits in China's pocket. He cites Pakistan's record debt to China of about $30 billion, repeatedly rolled over when payments are missed, plus heavy Chinese investment in its defense and infrastructure. He reads China as treating Pakistan as a buffer against India.
Mr. GlobalHulu’s Mistake #news #truth #breakingnews
He reports Hulu's ad blitz backfired after a mass cancellation wave. He says one Hulu ad drew over 400 comments, nearly all saying "you're cancelled" rather than engaging with the ad content, and reads this as evidence the advertising spend is reinforcing the backlash rather than countering it.
Mr. GlobalAmerica First? #news #trump #truth #breakingnews
Ted Cruz warned it's dangerous for government to threaten broadcasters over content it dislikes. In a played clip, Cruz cites the pressure to pull Jimmy Kimmel off air and says the precedent could later be used to silence conservatives.
He reads Cruz's objection as self-interested rather than principled. He counts roughly six times in the clip where Cruz frames the danger as harm to conservatives specifically, arguing Cruz never invokes the First Amendment or free speech as a universal right.
He generalizes the complaint to politicians broadly. He asks whether any politician can frame an issue as being about America rather than about their own side's advantage, and concludes he doubts one can be found.
GeoHussarSaudi Arabia slapped America right in the face with a mutual defense agreement alongside Pakistan
The Saudi–Pakistan defense pact is a strategic win for China. Saudi Arabia signed a mutual defense agreement with nuclear-armed Pakistan, under which an attack on one is an attack on both. He calls it a massive shift in Asian geopolitics and a slap in the face to the US.
The attack on Qatar broke Saudi faith in US protection. He says Qatar hosts America's largest Middle East base and was meant to be untouchable, yet a key US ally, which he does not name, struck it in a failed bid to kill a militant group's leadership. It killed five low-ranking members and a Qatari official.
Stepping back from the news cycle after the Charlie Kirk assassination and the push to cancel Jimmy Kimmel is not a neglect of civic duty. The author argues that constant engagement with algorithm-driven outrage during an unusually divided moment in American life harms people without producing any corresponding civic benefit.
He offers six concrete steps for a "timeline cleanse": go outside, read physical books, create something, focus on work, prioritize family, and concentrate energy only on what you can actually control. The last point, credited to his wife, explicitly allows for continued political engagement — writing representatives, posting — but reframes most of one's energy as better spent on self, family, and home.
Feeling powerless about world events doesn't mean having no power at all. The author locates real agency in daily choices — what content to consume, which businesses to patronize, where to live — arguing that individual choices, aggregated, are what have historically shaped America.
Mr. GlobalOh Canada! #news #truth #breakingnews #trump
The US ambassador to Canada is reported puzzled by Canadian anti-American sentiment. He identifies the ambassador as Pete Hoekstra, who expressed disappointment that Canadians aren't more passionate about the US-Canada relationship despite Canada's "elbows up" campaign.
He attributes the sentiment to roughly 75 million Americans, not to Trump policy alone. He argues it was ordinary Americans turning on Canada because Trump told them to that did the most damage, more than any specific policy Trump enacted.
He reads this as evidence Trump can turn Americans against each other too. He argues that if Trump could mobilize mass hatred of another country with a few words, the same mechanism works domestically among Americans.
The UAE and Saudi Arabia align with the West; Qatar hedges. He describes the UAE as warm with Riyadh, and the two running a media war against Qatar through Sky News (UAE-based) and Al Jazeera (Qatar-based). He characterizes Qatar as "calculating" with the West and supportive of Iran and Islamist movements.
Qatar's rivals once cut it off entirely. The UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Egypt blockaded Qatar with no trade from 2017 to 2021. He argues Qatar has nonetheless shown it can play both sides, including the more extreme one.
Striking Qatar meant striking a close US partner. Qatar is a major non-NATO ally hosting the largest US air base in the Middle East near Doha. The attacker, which he declines to name and which has had no diplomatic ties with Qatar since 2009, struck on September 9, killing five low-ranking members and a Qatari official. He stresses the targets were ceasefire negotiators, not military assets.
Oklahoma's Supreme Court halted new K-12 social studies standards that taught election-fraud claims. The standards, developed with input from conservative think tanks under superintendent Ryan Walters and including the claim the 2020 election was rigged, drew lawsuits and a court hold despite opposition from some conservative state lawmakers; he predicts the court will ultimately strike the standards down.
GeoHussarQatar is supposed to be a country that no one can touch #qatar #qatar🇶🇦 #doha #foreignpolicy
The strike on Qatar broke its untouchable status. The attack came on September 9; he deliberately doesn't name the attacking country, saying the platform penalizes it, and predicts consequences for many countries, including the United States.
Qatar's wealth and LNG exports give it leverage over Europe. He cites 2024 GDP of $240 billion, 54th worldwide, against ninth in per-capita income, and its position as the largest LNG exporter, which Europe sought after Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
Qatar's independence from Saudi Arabia makes it the ideal mediator. He says it resists following Saudi decisions, including on OPEC, stays friendly with Iran, the Shia rival to Sunni Saudi Arabia, and mediates for a group he leaves unnamed.
A commenter blamed blue-state gas taxes for gas prices exceeding year-ago levels. He rebuts this by pointing to red states with higher prices than a year ago: Texas and Florida both up 7 cents a gallon, Ohio up 14 cents, and Alaska up 20 cents, alongside Alabama, South Carolina, and Tennessee.
California, a blue state, is reported cheaper than a year ago. He notes gas there is roughly 15 cents a gallon lower year-over-year, while acknowledging Washington and Oregon are more expensive than last year.
He attributes the national average move to a weighted calculation, not tax policy. He argues Texas and Florida's larger populations carry more weight in the national average than Washington and Oregon, which undercuts the blue-state-tax explanation.
Unqualified hires through personal connections are common in the oil and gas industry. He says nearly everyone in the industry has complained about a boss or coworker who got the job through a brother-in-law, friend, or relative rather than merit, and says this pattern skews white.
Despite knowing this, people don't feel nervous around white professionals in high-stakes roles. He contrasts this with the wariness some feel toward other groups, even while knowing the connected-hire problem statistically makes a white professional more likely to be underqualified.
He labels the discrepancy "white comfort," a bias people often don't recognize they hold. He frames this gap between known risk and felt trust as an unexamined assumption rather than a reasoned judgment.
No Middle Eastern state would risk attacking Turkey. He rejects reports that Turkey fears being next after the strike on Qatar by a country he declines to name, calling an attack on Turkey a death sentence for the attacker.
Turkey's air power is nothing like Iran's. He contrasts Iran, whose air force and S-300/possible S-400-copy defenses were destroyed in the 12-day war, with Turkey's 205 fighter jets, mostly F-16s, plus S-400s alongside NATO-grade Patriot, Hawk and Rapier systems.
Turkey is also a leading drone power. He cites Turkey as one of the world's largest military-drone exporters, with the Bayraktar TB2 the world's most exported attack drone.
Mr. GlobalUkraine and Rig Counts #news #trump #truth #breakingnews #gasprices #oil #gas
He doubts Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure will reverse falling US rig counts. Despite oil and gas prices rising on the strikes, he argues OPEC's production increases starting next month make the current situation different from past wartime periods when rig counts climbed, though he allows that a long-term, large-scale loss of Russian output could eventually change oil companies' investment decisions.
Mr. Global2 Days #news #trump #truth #breakingnews
He contrasts a past dismissal of political-violence warnings with events two days later. Replaying a clip questioning whether violent rhetoric ever leads to real violence, he notes it has "happened twice" in the two days since the clip was recorded.
GeoHussarWhy do so many governments hold onto bitcoin?? #crypto #blockchain #bitcoin #viral
Governments hold large Bitcoin stockpiles for practical reasons. He cites the US at 198,022 BTC and China at about 190,000, together roughly $45 billion, then the UK at 64,000. He says Ukraine holds a lot because crypto is fast to transfer for funding, and North Korea is in the top 10 because it has few other ways to pay.
Russia may hold more Bitcoin than anyone, undeclared. He notes Russia publishes no official figure and speculates its holdings could exceed those of the US and China. He says Russia accepts Bitcoin for oil because of Western sanctions, and that ordinary Russians convert Bitcoin into stablecoins to get dollars.
He argues the Epstein case's physical evidence undercuts claims that accusers lied. Pointing to flight logs, an island used to bring in young girls, Ghislaine Maxwell's conviction on two trafficking counts, and thousands of electronic payments from wealthy individuals, he predicts the story will keep resurfacing because both Republicans and Democrats want answers, and expects more "distractions" aimed at burying it.
Governor Hochul's endorsement of Mamdani despite her own stated disagreements with him is reckless given his thin record. The author notes Mamdani, 33, accomplished little of substance in the State Assembly and won the Democratic primary largely because he faced two weak opponents, not because of a tested governing platform.
Rent freezes have a consistent history of causing decay rather than fixing affordability, the author argues from three cases. He cites 1970s-80s New York City landlord abandonment, a Stanford-linked finding that San Francisco's rent control since 1994 cut rental supply by about 15%, and Berlin's 2020-21 rent freeze, which was struck down by Germany's Constitutional Court after housing supply collapsed.
Government-run grocery stores to fix food deserts have failed everywhere the model has been tried, per the author's examples. Kansas City spent nearly $18 million reviving a market that lost foot traffic and nearly $900,000 before closing in 2025; Detroit's 1980s-90s municipal markets shut down or were privatized; Chicago's proposal remains stalled — evidence, the author argues, that city governments aren't built for retail supply-chain management.
Mamdani's public-safety record is a specific point of concern: he previously advocated fully defunding the NYPD without specifying a replacement, and has been slow to denounce phrases like "globalize the intifada" despite New York having the country's largest Jewish population. The author distinguishes this record from Mamdani's current, softened campaign rhetoric, arguing the earlier positions are what voters should weigh.
Partisan cable news serves the same moneyed interests. He argues Fox News and CNN both sell outrage and tribal separation while being funded by billionaires, hedge funds and large corporations. Whoever wins, big pharma, big oil, real estate and the banks keep posting record profits.
Consumer spending is the real lever, more than voting. He endorses voting as civic duty but says it barely solves the problem, urging viewers to exploit both sides' one weakness: their consumption and dollars.
Chinese ownership of US land is trivial. China holds 383,000 acres, under 1% of the 38 million acres held by foreign entities; Canada alone holds about 12 million, nearly a third. He asks why no one worries about Canada, Italy, the Netherlands, the UK or France.
Most foreign holdings are ordinary investment, not strategy. He says Canadian holdings are mainly timber and wind or other renewables, as with several European countries, and Canada also owns the most US commercial real estate. China owns the most US homes and some farmland via its acquisition of Smithfield roughly 10 years ago.
Homes near bases are a manageable concern. He argues that even if some Chinese-owned houses sit near US bases, they are on US territory where the US can surveil them.
He says Congress, not Biden, authorized SPR sales unrelated to a foreign crisis. Responding to a claim that SPR oil should only be sold for a foreign crisis, he says lawmakers passed five pieces of legislation selling 240 million barrels to fund Trump's tax cuts, his budget, the FAST Act, the Cures Act, and the 2015 budget, then later called the sales destructive; he adds that oil would be gone either way and that some of it would otherwise be sold now at $62 a barrel versus $94.